Options Trading and Gambling

The recent global market crisis caused a lot of options traders to lose their fortune. Increasingly, there are people who are referring to options trading or derivatives trading at large as gambling. This is probably due to the many options traders who had their positions go down to zero, taking their whole account with them.

Did the stock investors do any better?

Many pensions and individuals had big positions on GM before the 2008 crisis begun and fully intend to hold it as “investment” rather than speculation. But look at where GM is now… barely a dollar. Didn’t those “investors” lose their shirt as well? Shouldn’t stock trading or investing in stocks be gambling as well?

So what is gambling?

In essence, putting money into something hoping that it will do well when you can do nothing about how the price movement of that thing moves is gambling. Depending on an uncertain future outcome in order to make a profit or loss is gambling! That includes stock “investment”, options trading, futures trading, warrants etc. How different are those from horse betters who “analyze” the performance of horses and then place their bets waiting for an outcome?

Accepting the fact that betting on an uncertain future outcome with money on the line is GAMBLING is the beginning of trading and investing.

How did high stake professional poker players make a profession and a living out of a “Gambling” game? The real secret is risk management. Risk management is what takes options trading out of the realm of gambling into the realm of investing.

The beauty of options trading is that risk can be hedged and position can be sized to any risk management needs. To take the simplest example, don’t buy more call options or put options than the amount of money you are willing to lose! See? Options traders who cannot accept the fact that trying to predict future outcome is gambling, who like to think in terms of “sure win”, will put all their money into a single position and lose their shirt. And then cry about options trading being gambling. Yes, options trading IS gambling in the sense that future outcome cannot be predicted! It is proper risk management that takes options trading out of the realm of gambling and into the realm of investing and trading.

In fact, with proper risk management, options trading can be much less of a gamble than buying stocks itself! sbobet

This is because you can structure options strategies that profit in more than just one direction whereas if you buy stocks, you only make money when the stock goes up! With the possibility of profiting in more than one direction, chances of winning is greatly enhanced, risk lowers and the trade becomes more of an investment than a gamble! See?

For example, a Call Ratio Spread allows me to profit when the stock goes down, stay stagnant or up to a pre-determined price! In all 3 directions! Now, how is that gambling now that the exact future outcome is no longer that important to profitability? With a Call Ratio Spread, I won’t have to be exactly correct on where the stock is going, because it is unpredictable in the first place, and still make money! See?

Also, due to leverage granted by call and put options, I could control the profit on more stocks using lesser money! By using only money I am willing to lose in one trade, I could reduce risk and yet control the profit on stocks which will take a lot more money to control!

Now, options trading is not magic. Options trading can be risky without a comprehensive understanding of how it works and how each options strategies work but once you reach that level of competence, options trading becomes more trading and investing than gambling with the proper risk management strategies in place. The point I am trying to get across to you in this article is this: Anything that depends on an uncertain future outcome is gambling and that includes options trading and stock investing. However, with proper risk management and hedging strategies, options trading can become a lot less dependent on the accuracy of the future outcome than stock investing, thereby becoming more of an investment than gamble

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Online Gambling May Be Cut Off By New Legislation

There is a new law waiting to be signed by President Bush which was presented to Congress that is holding the $12 billion online gambling industry by a thread. It appears that Tennessee Senator Bill Frist, introduced the bill on Saturday by joining it to the Safe Port Act before Congress took its election recess in November. UFABET

The Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act that is expected to be signed by President Bush, will practically finish off all online gambling sites by making it illegal for any bank, credit card company or online payment system to process any payments being made to online gambling companies.

The new law states that Online Gambling sites are now banned from accepting any type of check, credit card or electronic transfer payments for internet gaming in the US and seriously puts the industry in chaos.

Surprised at the passing of this new debilitating law, the leaders in the online gambling industry took drastic measures and started to trade off stock on the London Stock Exchange which erased $8 billion from the industry. PartyGaming, the world’s biggest online gambling site said that they would cease their ties with the 920,000 active US customers they currently have only when Bush actually signs the new act.

Although the new law hasn’t yet been signed, the industry is already being drastically affected. PartyGaming’s stocks alone have dropped 60% ending up at a measly .81 cents a share. Other sites like SportingBet and 888 Holding were also affected by the change and have since lost a lot of money on their shares. 888 Holding, for example, had a 48% decrease on their shares dropping them down to $1.42 on the British Market and announced that it was going to no longer continue its online gambling business in the United States.

This isn’t the first Act, however, that has given the federal government power to break down the online gambling industry. Under the 1961 Wire Act, the federal government has the right to brake down online betting in sports, poker and other casino games that are considered to be illegal under the law.

This is seriously debilitating the industries economy because the US consumer market is responsible for 50-60% of the online gambling revenue. These critical laws against the online gambling site owners are forcing companies to shut down or move out but what’s clear is that they are no longer welcome in the United States.

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